Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 9.551307 11.173748 12.946973 15.023445 17.382641 19.973876 23.029354
2025-12-07 7.090080 9.359807 12.099956 15.623974 20.005257 25.240348 31.932651
2025-12-14 5.298951 7.728317 10.907811 15.311484 21.180250 28.651818 38.788999
2025-12-21 4.088176 6.505141 9.896423 14.896684 21.954528 31.414518 44.874296
2025-12-28 3.535260 6.052623 9.794915 15.601630 24.184264 36.165469 53.856170
2026-01-04 3.051377 5.592717 9.577194 16.052628 26.026259 40.458329 62.469109
2026-01-11 2.586676 5.065909 9.157295 16.105005 27.226968 43.864674 70.003889
2026-01-18 2.211083 4.613902 8.776305 16.140748 28.357264 47.195779 77.598938
2026-01-25 1.837229 4.090312 8.189483 15.745182 28.726948 49.347802 83.504828
2026-02-01 1.534110 3.639893 7.658186 15.361777 29.046288 51.397704 89.330913
2026-02-08 1.255576 3.181179 7.038930 14.733692 28.864362 52.588573 93.820988
2026-02-15 1.036357 2.801680 6.510621 14.196970 28.767147 53.874620 98.497204
2026-02-22 0.940686 2.695737 6.542551 14.787414 30.854187 59.170538 110.470672
2026-03-01 0.844152 2.570985 6.525305 15.297287 32.876569 64.567393 123.092062
2026-03-08 0.700255 2.291412 6.125745 14.975367 33.285369 67.148640 131.046491
2026-03-15 0.576006 2.028666 5.714729 14.565730 33.465510 69.306793 138.369629
2026-03-22 0.532574 1.982410 5.805397 15.256586 35.907555 75.786783 153.798359
2026-03-29 0.481047 1.898221 5.788078 15.698839 37.871251 81.488220 168.127973
2026-04-05 0.418565 1.761539 5.612820 15.750195 39.010721 85.678738 179.895053
2026-04-12 0.364262 1.635165 5.441400 15.785250 40.110360 89.851551 191.849160
2026-04-19 0.303348 1.464890 5.116593 15.397260 40.234482 92.086051 200.221341
2026-04-26 0.252572 1.313403 4.814407 15.021221 40.340286 94.274365 208.606003
2026-05-03 0.203899 1.150202 4.442067 14.405257 39.823140 95.130894 214.400894